Structured Notes in 2026: What 95 SEC Pricing Supplements Say a $1,000 Note Is Worth on Day One
Quick Answer
A structured note is a bond from a bank whose payout depends on a stock, an index or a basket, and in all 95 final pricing supplements we read, the issuer's own "estimated value" is below the price the investor pays. The supplements were filed on EDGAR between January 12 and September 29, 2026 by eight issuers. The median estimated value was 97.66% of the price, a gap of 2.34%, or $23.40 on a $1,000 note (our arithmetic), and the gap ran from 0.25% to 8.70%. The median selling commission or fee was 1.04% (13 notes show $0), so about 1.09 percentage points of the median gap is not itemized as commission (our arithmetic). Notes that mature more than four years out had a median gap of 4.26%, against 1.43% for notes of two years or less. All 95 say payments depend on the issuer's credit risk, and apart from two plain fixed-rate callable bonds none promises all of your principal back. As of October 7, 2026.
Key Takeaways
- Sample: 95 final 424B2 pricing supplements, filed January 12 to September 29, 2026, from JPMorgan Chase Financial Company LLC (24), Barclays Bank PLC (16), Citigroup Global Markets Holdings Inc. (15), Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (14), GS Finance Corp. (10), BofA Finance LLC (6), Wells Fargo Finance LLC (6) and UBS AG (4). It is a sample drawn from EDGAR full-text hits, not a census of every note issued (our arithmetic).
- The price you pay is above the issuer's value: the median estimated value is 97.66% of price, the mean gap is 2.71%, and 10 of the 95 notes show a gap of 5% or more. The widest, a GS Finance callable note due 2032, shows an estimated value of $913 on a $1,000 price (our arithmetic).
- Commission is only part of the gap: median fee 1.04% of price, median gap minus fee 1.09 points. In 4 notes the estimated value is above the proceeds the issuer receives after the fee (our arithmetic).
- Time costs money: median gap 1.43% for notes of up to two years (41 notes), 2.68% for two to four years (26), 4.26% for over four years (24), measured from filing date to maturity (our arithmetic).
- Principal: the market-linked notes use buffers, barriers and, in three Barclays notes, a 90% minimum payment. A keyword search finds no market-linked note that returns 100% of principal; the only 100% repayments are two plain Morgan Stanley Finance fixed-rate callable notes. Every one of the 95 says payments are subject to the issuer's credit risk and that the note will not be listed on an exchange.
- Tax, as the issuers state it: 66 notes are treated as prepaid forwards or open transactions, 21 as contingent payment debt instruments taxed on accrued interest, 6 as a single financial contract, and 2 plain callable notes say nothing. 51 contain language that no authority addresses the treatment or that the IRS may disagree.
CSV · 264 rows
Structured notes in 95 final 424B2 pricing supplements, January to September 2026
264 rows: for each of 95 notes the estimated value and the selling fee per $1,000 of price with the accession number, the stated terms of twelve notes, and summaries by issuer, note type, term, tax characterization and risk language.
What a structured note is, in the regulators' words
A structured note is a debt security from a bank or its finance subsidiary with a payout tied to something else, usually a stock index, a single stock or a basket. FINRA, the brokers' regulator, describes the risk plainly: “Most structured notes don’t offer any principal protection, meaning that an investor could lose the entire amount invested as a result of the performance of the reference asset or assets to which the notes provide exposure.” (FINRA, Understanding Structured Notes With Principal Protection, April 12, 2023.)
On the price, the same FINRA page says: “The initial estimated value is generally less than the price of the note, meaning that you’re investing an amount per note that exceeds its estimated value.” That estimated value is printed on the cover of the pricing supplement. This page measures it, note by note. On the guarantee side, the SEC and FINRA said in a June 2, 2011 press release that “any guarantee is only as good as the financial strength of the company that makes that promise.”
How we read the 95 supplements
We used EDGAR full-text search for Form 424B2 filings from January 1 to September 30, 2026 by each issuer's finance entity, with the issuer's own estimated-value wording as the search phrase (“estimated value” and, for JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and BofA, the exact phrase its final supplements use), and drew filings at random from the first 100 hits for each issuer and month. We downloaded each document and kept only final pricing supplements, those that print a single estimated value, not the “expected to be between” ranges of preliminary ones. A script then pulled, for each note, the estimated value, the price to the public and the selling commission or fee from the cover table, and it stopped if a number it pulled was not found in the saved text. Six final supplements (two GS Finance, four JPMorgan) whose cover table the script could not read were dropped. Notes sold in $10 units (BofA Finance and one JPMorgan note) are scaled to $1,000 of price. Selling fee is price minus proceeds to the issuer, as the table shows it.
Limits. This is a sample of 95, not every note; it is not weighted by dollars sold; eight issuers; and the note-type labels are our keyword rule on the cover text. Market-linked certificates of deposit, which banks issue as FDIC-insured deposits, do not appear in this filing type: our EDGAR search for the phrase found no 424B2 filing. Wells Fargo's note program in the sample is Wells Fargo Finance LLC, not the bank's deposit products.
The gap: price versus the issuer's estimated value
| Issuer (finance entity) | Notes in sample | Median gap (price minus estimated value) | Median selling fee | Gap range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase Financial Company LLC | 24 | 2.08% | 0.75% | 0.68% to 5.82% |
| Barclays Bank PLC | 16 | 1.89% | 1.00% | 0.86% to 5.25% |
| Citigroup Global Markets Holdings Inc. | 15 | 2.97% | 2.00% | 0.61% to 5.46% |
| Morgan Stanley Finance LLC | 14 | 1.90% | 1.00% | 0.47% to 5.53% |
| GS Finance Corp. | 10 | 3.90% | 2.25% | 1.90% to 8.70% |
| BofA Finance LLC | 6 | 2.74% | 1.75% | 1.46% to 4.11% |
| Wells Fargo Finance LLC | 6 | 3.69% | 1.82% | 1.50% to 5.36% |
| UBS AG | 4 | 0.47% | 0.00% | 0.25% to 1.50% |
| All 95 notes | 95 | 2.34% | 1.04% | 0.25% to 8.70% |
Source: 95 final Form 424B2 pricing supplements on SEC EDGAR, accession numbers in the CSV. Gap, medians and ranges are our arithmetic. Four UBS notes are too few to compare issuers.
Most gaps sit between 1% and 5%. The ten notes with gaps of 5% or more come from six of the eight issuers, so no single bank owns the top of the range. Two of them are GS Finance callable notes due 2031 and 2032: a GS Finance “$640,000 Leveraged Callable S&P 500 ® Futures Excess Return Index-Linked Notes due 2032” shows an estimated value of $913 on a $1,000 price and a selling fee of $41.25; a Citigroup autocallable contingent coupon note on Tesla stock due February 28, 2029 shows $945.40 and a $40.00 underwriting fee. At the other end, a UBS capped leveraged buffered S&P 500 note due September 22, 2027 shows $997.50 with no underwriting discount.
Who gets paid: commission, fee-based accounts and what is left
The selling commission is on the cover. In the sample it runs from $0 to $41.25 per $1,000 (0% to 4.12%), median 1.04%. It is not the whole gap. Barclays spells out the rest in its own words: the difference “results from several factors”, including commissions and selling concessions, “the estimated profit that we or any of our affiliates expect to earn in connection with structuring the Notes” and “the estimated cost that we may incur in hedging our obligations under the Notes.” On our numbers, the median gap exceeds the fee by 1.09 percentage points. In 4 notes the estimated value is above the proceeds the issuer receives after the fee, so the gap there is smaller than the commission.
Thirteen notes show a $0 fee, and 17 supplements mention fee-based accounts. The wording matters: Morgan Stanley's supplement of February 12, 2026 states “The price to public for investors purchasing the notes in fee-based advisory accounts will be $996 per note.” A Barclays supplement says “Because dealers who purchase the Notes for sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts may forgo some or all selling concessions”. If a note is held inside an advisory account, the commission can be removed from the note and charged as the account's advisory fee instead. The estimated-value gap remains: the 13 zero-fee notes still show gaps of 0.25% to 4.70%. Our guide to what a financial advisor costs covers the account-level fee.
Longer notes cost more
| Filing date to maturity | Notes | Median gap | Median selling fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up to 2 years | 41 | 1.43% | 1.00% |
| 2 to 4 years | 26 | 2.68% | 1.10% |
| Over 4 years | 24 | 4.26% | 2.38% |
Source: maturity dates from the cover or key terms of 91 of the 95 supplements (two plain callable notes and two JPMorgan notes give no parsable date); term measured from the filing date; our arithmetic.
By note type
| Type (our keyword rule) | Notes | Median gap | Median selling fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffered | 30 | 1.42% | 0.81% |
| Leveraged or capped market-linked | 22 | 2.57% | 1.02% |
| Barrier or trigger | 17 | 2.10% | 1.00% |
| Autocallable, contingent coupon | 10 | 3.34% | 1.82% |
| Autocallable, no coupon | 10 | 2.65% | 1.75% |
| Issuer-callable (the bank may redeem) | 4 | 5.00% | 3.12% |
| Plain fixed-rate callable | 2 | 1.65% | 0.45% |
Source: same 95 supplements; type assigned by keywords on the cover text (autocall, contingent coupon, buffer, barrier or trigger, issuer call), so a note with two features sits in one row; our arithmetic.
The four issuer-callable notes are all GS Finance and all run to 2031 or 2032. The GS Finance note above says: “We may redeem your notes at 100% of their face amount plus an amount equal to the product of $1,000 times the applicable call premium amount”.
Twelve notes, term by term
The cover of a supplement is a short contract. These twelve show how different the notes behind the same label are. Every term below is quoted or restated from the saved supplement.
| Note (filed, accession) | Upside, coupon or call as stated | Barrier, buffer or floor as stated | Estimated value / fee, per $1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Financial, Capped Dual Directional Buffered Return Enhanced Notes on the S&P 500, due Nov 4, 2027 (May 4, 2026; 0001213900-26-051705) | Upside Leverage Factor 1.50, Maximum Upside Return of 14.25% | Buffer Amount of 15.00%; investors may lose up to 85.00% of principal | $990.40 / $4.50 |
| JPMorgan Financial, Digital Barrier Notes on the least performing of three indexes, due Mar 20, 2031 (Sep 17, 2026; 0001918704-26-027903) | Contingent Digital Return: 52.75% | Barrier Amount 75.00% of each index's Initial Value | $950.50 / $22.50 |
| Wells Fargo Finance, auto-callable contingent coupon securities on Axon stock, due Aug 10, 2029 (Aug 11, 2026; 0001839882-26-039428) | Contingent coupon rate 19.60% per annum | Coupon threshold value 50% of the starting value | $983.30 / $18.25 |
| BofA Finance, autocallable contingent coupon barrier notes on NVIDIA and Tesla, due Jul 11, 2028 (Jul 7, 2026; 0001918704-26-019497) | Approximately 16.40% per annum | Coupon Barrier 50.00% of Starting Value; up to 100.00% of principal at risk | $969.30 / $17.50 |
| Citigroup, autocallable contingent coupon securities on Micron, due Mar 9, 2028 (Sep 9, 2026; 0001918704-26-026921) | Contingent coupon rate of approximately 18.65% per annum | Final barrier value 50.00% of initial value; below it, $1,000 plus $1,000 times the underlying return | $969.60 / $22.25 |
| Morgan Stanley Finance, Trigger PLUS on the Russell 2000, due Mar 2, 2029 (Mar 3, 2026; 0001839882-26-013094) | Leverage factor 200%; maximum payment at maturity $1,397.50 (139.75%) | Downside threshold about 80% of initial level; below it, 1% lost for every 1% decline | $954.80 / $25.00 |
| Citigroup, Trigger PLUS with auto-callable feature on the Russell 2000, due May 3, 2028 (Apr 20, 2026; 0000950103-26-005944) | Interim redemption premium 15.40%; leverage factor 125.00% | Trigger level 80% of initial index level | $979.30 / $25.00 |
| BofA Finance, Autocallable Strategic Accelerated Redemption Securities on the S&P 500, due Feb 27, 2032 (Mar 2, 2026; 0001918704-26-005625) | Call Premium of 7.55% | Threshold Value 85.00% of starting value | $971.80 / $20.00 |
| UBS AG, Capped Leveraged Buffered S&P 500 notes, due Sep 22, 2027 (Jan 26, 2026; 0001839882-26-004535) | Maximum settlement amount $1,192.00 per $1,000 | Buffer level 87.50% of initial level | $997.50 / $0.00 |
| Barclays Bank, Fixed Coupon Barrier Notes on NVIDIA stock, due Mar 29, 2027 (Mar 25, 2026; 0000950103-26-004628) | Fixed rate of 10.50% per annum | Barrier Value 55.00% of initial value; below it, shares of the stock are delivered | $987.30 / $10.00 |
| Barclays Bank, Capped Notes on Oracle stock, due Sep 24, 2027 (Sep 18, 2026; 0000950103-26-014178) | No interest | Minimum payment at maturity of only 90% of principal | $987.20 / $2.00 |
| GS Finance, notes with a 90% buffer level, due Aug 9, 2028 (Aug 10, 2026; 0001193125-26-342145) | Automatic call feature | Buffer level 90% of initial underlier level; buffer amount 10% | $974.00 / $15.00 |
Source: the Form 424B2 pricing supplements by accession number. Estimated value and fee are normalized to $1,000 of price; for BofA Finance, from $10 units. Rounding follows the filing.
Two things stand out. A 19.60% or 18.65% coupon is the reward for a barrier at 50% of the starting level on a single volatile stock, and it is paid only on days the stock holds above that level. And the Barclays NVIDIA note says it plainly: investors should be “willing to receive shares of the Underlier at maturity that will likely be worth significantly less than their investment and could be worth nothing.”
Credit risk: you are lending to the bank
A structured note is not a fund, and the underlying index is not what you own. You hold an unsecured bond. All 95 supplements state that payments depend on the issuer's credit risk, and all 95 say they will not be listed on an exchange. JPMorgan's wording is typical: “Any payment on the notes is subject to the credit risk of JPMorgan Financial, as issuer of the notes, and the credit risk of JPMorgan Chase & Co., as guarantor of the notes.” Notes from the finance subsidiaries (JPMorgan Financial, Morgan Stanley Finance, GS Finance, BofA Finance, Wells Fargo Finance, Citigroup Global Markets Holdings) carry a parent guarantee, so the credit you are exposed to is the parent group. Barclays Bank PLC and UBS AG issue directly. Of the 93 market-linked notes, none returns 100% of principal in all outcomes (a keyword search for protection and minimum-payment wording): the closest are three Barclays Bank notes with a 90% floor. The exceptions are two Morgan Stanley Finance fixed-rate callable notes, which pay stated principal plus accrued interest at maturity and are still “subject to our credit risk”, as their cover says.
Fully principal-protected notes exist, and FINRA writes that “structured notes with principal protection typically have costs that can be relatively high and sometimes difficult to determine or understand”. We found none in this sample.
Tax, as the supplements state it
| Treatment stated in the supplement | Notes |
|---|---|
| Prepaid forward contract or open transaction (income at sale or maturity) | 66 |
| Contingent payment debt instrument (interest accrues each year, taxed before you are paid) | 21 |
| Single financial contract (BofA Finance wording) | 6 |
| Not stated in the supplement (two plain callable notes) | 2 |
Source: tax sections of the 95 supplements; counts are our arithmetic. This is what the issuer tells you it intends or what its tax counsel believes, not a ruling.
Fifty-one supplements add that the treatment is uncertain or that no authority addresses it. Which treatment applies changes when you are taxed, so the tax section belongs on your checklist before you buy, and a tax professional should read it for your situation.
Selling before maturity
The estimated value is not a bid. JPMorgan's supplement says “the price, if any, at which JPMS will be willing to buy the notes from you in secondary market transactions, if at all, is likely to be lower than the original issue price”. Morgan Stanley's says it “may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities, and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time”, and that during an amortization period it would buy “based on values higher than the estimated value”. FINRA adds that if you sell before maturity, “you might suffer a loss relative to your principal investment.”
Verdict: what the paperwork shows
The headline is arithmetic, not an opinion: on the day you buy, the issuer values what you hold at a median of about 97.7 cents on the dollar, and lower the longer the note runs. In exchange the note offers a defined payoff, a coupon, a buffer or a barrier, subject to the issuer's credit risk and to an exit the issuer controls. Whether that trade suits you depends on the specific terms; the filings give you the numbers to ask about.
What a buyer can do with this
- Ask for the pricing supplement, not the brochure. Search EDGAR for the CUSIP or the issuer's name and form 424B2. The cover shows the estimated value and the commission.
- Do the subtraction. Price minus estimated value is the day-one gap. Compare it with the figures above: the median is 2.34%, and above 5% is in the top ten of 95.
- Read three lines of the key terms. The barrier or buffer level, the cap or maximum payment, and the call feature. Our twelve-note table shows how much they differ behind similar names.
- Ask what happens in an advisory account. If the note sits in a fee-based account, ask what the account fee is on top, and whether the note's commission was removed.
- Check concentration in one issuer. A note, a bond and a deposit from the same bank are the same name at risk. Our pages on private credit fund redemptions and private equity access cover other places where a price and a value differ.
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Sources: 95 final Form 424B2 pricing supplements filed on SEC EDGAR between January 12 and September 29, 2026 by JPMorgan Chase Financial Company LLC, Barclays Bank PLC, Citigroup Global Markets Holdings Inc., Morgan Stanley Finance LLC, GS Finance Corp., BofA Finance LLC, Wells Fargo Finance LLC and UBS AG (accession numbers in the CSV); FINRA, "Understanding Structured Notes With Principal Protection" (April 12, 2023); SEC press release 2011-118, "SEC, FINRA Warn Retail Investors About Investing in Structured Notes with Principal Protection" (June 2, 2011); retrieved October 7, 2026. Gaps, medians, ranges, counts by issuer, type and term, and tax counts are our arithmetic from those filings. This is analysis of public documents, not investment, legal or tax advice.
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